• mipadaitu@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    Polls don’t matter, especially this far out.

    Vote. Put pressure on politicians to do better. But more than anything. Vote.

    If the polls say he’s 100% going to win. Vote. If you’re in a state that goes blue every time for the last 100 years. Vote. If you’re in a state that goes red every time for the last 100 years. Vote.

    • shalafi@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      I see people saying their vote doesn’t matter when they’re in a highly partisan district, which is most of them.

      News flash: Even the dumbest politicians can look at arithmetic. If they see their margins shrinking, they’ll adjust. Or go full retard and double-down. And then get a worse beating.

      • Julian@lemm.ee
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        4 months ago

        Also local elections can be decided by one vote and can be just as important.

          • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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            4 months ago

            After trading leads several times, Simitian and Low each finished with 30,249 votes in the original tally, which was finalized earlier this month, shortly before the recount began. Liccardo finished with 38,489 votes, well ahead of the other two candidates.

            So the two runners-up were competing for who gets to lose in a run-off election?

            The attacks reached a fever pitch late last month, when a local prosecutor filed a complaint with the Federal Election Commission alleging that Liccardo’s campaign illegally coordinated with “a newly formed dark money Super PAC to do his CD-16 recount bidding.”

            :-/ It’s not the votes that count, but who counts the votes.

      • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        I see people saying their vote doesn’t matter when they’re in a highly partisan district

        I see people saying it when they’re in heavily gerrymandered districts and deeply disenfranchised states. Dems have been playing the “Just go out and vote!” game in Florida for a quarter century, and Repubs keep finding new ways to yank the football. Even ballot initiatives don’t work, as the Florida gerrymandered legislature just reverses out whatever voting rights or decriminalization laws the public passes.

        • CileTheSane@lemmy.ca
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          4 months ago

          Okay, then protest. And also VOTE.

          Throwing your hands up in the air saying “voting doesn’t work so I’m not going to do anything” is just allowing them to dictate everything that will happen.

          • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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            4 months ago

            Okay, then protest.

            Throwing your hands up in the air saying “voting doesn’t work so I’m not going to do anything”

            Studying the history of the electoral system and the patterns of disenfranchisement isn’t equivalent to “doing nothing”. And in the end, you have to be rational rather than idealistic. When Vladimir Putin is counting the votes, you’re not going to vote him out of office.

            • CileTheSane@lemmy.ca
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              4 months ago

              When Vladimir Putin is counting the votes, you’re not going to vote him out of office.

              Russians that literally live under Vladimir Putin risk their lives to protest. You have politicians that you admit want to become the next Putin but won’t say anything or of fear of pepper spray.

              There’s an internet meme about France surrendering. French politicians try to increase the retirement age and the population takes to the streets. American politicians try to take away your democracy and American citizens just roll over to expose their belly.
              It’s not the French that surrender at the slightest bit of difficulty.

              • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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                4 months ago

                Russians that literally live under Vladimir Putin risk their lives to protest.

                So do American college kids.

                French politicians try to increase the retirement age and the population takes to the streets.

                French politicians have been squeezing the pension system since at least 2006, and the street protests have come and gone without discouraging new efforts to dismantle the system.

                Bully to them for trying, but without material control over industry, they’re all sound and fury.

    • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      Polls always matter, you just have to understand polls.

      This is with third party options and show Biden up 2% which is probably close to margin of error.

      It doesn’t mean Biden has it in the bag, but it means his chances are improved.

      But Biden risks the same dangers Hillary did in 2016.

      People don’t really want to vote for them, they just don’t want trump. So there’s a risk if Biden is polling too well (I don’t think it will be an issue) people will stay home thinking they don’t need to compromise their morals because trump will lose.

      It’s a dangerous game, and we wouldn’t have to play it if we ran a candidate popular with Dem voters.

      • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        So there’s a risk if Biden is polling too well (I don’t think it will be an issue) people will stay home thinking they don’t need to compromise their morals because trump will lose.

        That’s largely how Romney lost to Obama in 2012. Republican turnout sagged in a year when both candidates’ approval ratings were underwater. Mitt lost a bunch of midwestern states that a candidate like Bush or Trump could have won, thanks to his vulture capitalist career alienating blue-collar conservatives and his weird knock-off religion alienating evangelicals.