- Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, a trio of USA TODAY/Suffolk University polls found.
- Harris leads Trump 49%-46% in Pennsylvania, a statewide poll of 500 likely Pennsylvania voters conducted Sept. 11 to Sept. 15 found.
- Harris also enjoys higher personal popularity among likely Pennsylvania voters, with 49% having a favorable opinion of the vice president, compared to 47% with an unfavorable opinion.
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Margin of error on this poll is 4.4%. Don’t even bother clicking this. Vote.
I was recently listening to NPR/public radio discuss the margin of error. There are 4 types, and only one of those are used when reporting poll numbers.
The recommendation was to double the reported number to get a better idea of the true margin of error.
Edit: Found it! It was from On the Media, WNYC. September 13th, 2024 episode around 27m:47s. Here’s the link: https://pca.st/episode/3f8ff092-92b9-4767-9725-6dbe3af715be?t=1667
Interesting, I’ll look more into that, thanks
Yeah I wish I could share a link to the article/podcast, but I’m having trouble finding it right now.
Edit: Found it! It was from On the Media, WNYC. September 13th, 2024 episode around 27m:47s. Here’s the link: https://pca.st/episode/3f8ff092-92b9-4767-9725-6dbe3af715be?t=1667
I appreciate the sleuthing! Was an interesting listen
Encouraging. That means your VOTE counts, don’t waste it.
That is great news but this election is looking so close and she does not have the lead that she should. We need to get out and vote!
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
Obligatory: Doesn’t fucking matter, go vote.
A reminder: Electoral college isn’t looking so hot.
While it is far too close for comfort, Harris has at least a small lead in the polls in enough states to carry the election. This has been true for quite a while. And Trump’s lead is slipping in several more states.
We must not get complacent, but we also shouldn’t be discouraged.
The states she needs are all on a knife’s edge. She’s polling slightly better after the debate but things could easily revert over the next seven weeks. This election will be decided by turnout. I get frustrated with these articles proclaiming she’s ahead in a single poll with a result that’s inside the margin of error. Harris needs to beat both Trump and complacency.
Absolutely. I expect Harris to win. I’m just not comfortable at all.
Now hold on just a minute . . . this . . poll . . . is it EXCLUSIVE?!
USA Today - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)
Information for USA Today:
MBFC: Left-Center - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: Mostly Factual - United States of America
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